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Football Tips and Analysis from @NeilMac555

My names Neil Macdonald, I'm 35, I'm from Ireland, and I've been betting professionally on the European Top 5 leagues for close to a decade now. You can contact me on my Twitter profile @NeilMac555 

Since 2013 I've been sharing my bets publically. During that time I have tracked my profit/loss, you can view it here 

(keep in mind I track my bets as $50 = 1 unit) 

Since the summer of 2013, we have earned 410 units ($20,500 in real money) 

This total means if you placed..

  • $100 on each selection we advised you would have made a profit of $41,000
  • $50 on each selection = $20,500
  • $20 on each selection = $8,200
  • $10 on each selection = $4,100

It's a common misconception that you cannot make money from betting or the bigger markets, we are standing proof of that.

My approach

  • I don't have a model to churn out bets, I prefer to do a deep study of a select few teams from a select few leagues (From Europes Big 5 leagues) - Specialization is key to finding an edge in my opinion.
  • I believe understanding a teams tactical approach is a massive advantage as well as the managers playing philosophy, this is often overlooked and something you can't really model for
  • I have a strong network of contacts around the contintent to stay ahead of bookmakers on team news, particularly injuries to key players which is where find a large edge in the market
  • On top of this network, I examine all the advanced metrics such as xG, xGA, npxG, PPDA, OPPDA. Simply looking at scorelines is not enough anymore. 

Overall I'm looking at every shred of information I can get my hands on while trying to assess what matters and what doesn't. If I feel I have enough of an edge in the market I will bet and advise my members to follow at an advised price


Example

This game ended in a 3-1 win for Lazio (dominant display)


Markets we bet on:


➡️Asian Handicap

➡️ BTTS (Both teams to score)

➡️ Team goals

➡️ Total goals Over/Under

➡️ 1x2 (Match winner)


Bookies I use

➡️ Pinnacle (most bets)

➡️ Unibet/888Sport

➡️ Bet 365

➡️ Betfair Exchange

➡️ Betfair


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Football Tips and Analysis from @NeilMac555

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05/18

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